Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 15.287762 17.772217 20.474076 23.623061 27.184440 31.079256 35.652792
2025-07-27 11.384819 14.852461 19.000448 24.290111 30.814615 38.554397 48.381769
2025-08-03 8.887540 12.721492 17.667334 24.429257 33.334563 44.552530 59.625377
2025-08-10 7.013981 10.887222 16.220011 23.953307 34.707162 48.933865 68.938062
2025-08-17 5.625549 9.402150 14.916451 23.341652 35.626906 52.578539 77.351502
2025-08-24 4.553978 8.159996 13.721334 22.635303 36.202856 55.640723 85.030602
2025-08-31 3.655302 7.011154 12.468050 21.623412 36.132220 57.657753 91.240197
2025-09-07 3.221971 6.552572 12.218116 22.095526 38.282000 62.996112 102.550074
2025-09-14 2.845347 6.122828 11.943518 22.466281 40.259159 68.158499 113.870923
2025-09-21 2.419394 5.522310 11.284110 22.093944 40.960983 71.344722 122.305238
2025-09-28 2.037670 4.935784 10.562219 21.511714 41.223788 73.799718 129.679478
2025-10-05 1.951553 4.941589 10.940907 22.933548 45.014913 82.192930 147.003152
2025-10-12 1.807081 4.822562 11.111727 24.082685 48.594220 90.756051 165.618621
2025-10-19 1.617952 4.574035 11.004372 24.719955 51.367313 98.252988 183.131049
2025-10-26 1.410855 4.238100 10.664068 24.853922 53.214903 104.275102 198.532278
2025-11-02 1.189207 3.812863 10.060800 24.369508 53.823841 108.125380 210.394439
2025-11-09 0.994663 3.408780 9.435223 23.748395 54.084141 111.328245 221.267080
2025-11-16 0.826438 3.032057 8.806972 23.031310 54.062532 113.974520 231.254981
2025-11-23 0.670746 2.646543 8.086532 22.004009 53.284587 115.109778 238.509902
2025-11-30 0.606025 2.527490 8.022261 22.483320 55.709995 122.521285 257.779507
2025-12-07 0.544613 2.402503 7.921290 22.859712 57.937652 129.671773 276.922774
2025-12-14 0.464110 2.186558 7.533516 22.481713 58.462930 133.463857 289.844541
2025-12-21 0.388921 1.964439 7.085996 21.890603 58.443793 136.136238 300.716898